536 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:01,627 Yes. My name is Hunter storm. 537 00:00:01,627 --> 00:00:03,187 I am the UN 538 00:00:03,187 --> 00:00:05,677 project coordinator here in Portland. 539 00:00:05,677 --> 00:00:07,552 And I am also a student 540 00:00:07,552 --> 00:00:09,607 at Portland State University. 541 00:00:09,607 --> 00:00:12,802 And this is my undergraduate thesis project, 542 00:00:12,802 --> 00:00:14,002 I am predicting as 543 00:00:14,002 --> 00:00:16,372 a predator distributions in Portland. 544 00:00:16,372 --> 00:00:18,112 I want to introduce the other people 545 00:00:18,112 --> 00:00:19,582 who are on this project with me. 546 00:00:19,582 --> 00:00:20,872 That's Alissa story. 547 00:00:20,872 --> 00:00:22,237 She's also a professor at 548 00:00:22,237 --> 00:00:25,417 Oregon State University, lesly kitchen. 549 00:00:25,417 --> 00:00:26,782 She's the director and founder 550 00:00:26,782 --> 00:00:28,012 of the smart group. 551 00:00:28,012 --> 00:00:30,382 To leave insight, our moderator and 552 00:00:30,382 --> 00:00:31,492 also staff scientist at 553 00:00:31,492 --> 00:00:34,462 Brooklyn Audubon and Dante from tomato. 554 00:00:34,462 --> 00:00:36,412 He has a instructor at Portland State 555 00:00:36,412 --> 00:00:39,722 and he's also my advisor on this project. 556 00:00:39,882 --> 00:00:41,272 Okay. 557 00:00:41,272 --> 00:00:42,742 So un is 558 00:00:42,742 --> 00:00:45,112 the urban wildlife information network. 559 00:00:45,112 --> 00:00:47,167 This is a national 560 00:00:47,167 --> 00:00:50,152 wildlife monitoring project 561 00:00:50,152 --> 00:00:51,532 that started in Chicago 562 00:00:51,532 --> 00:00:52,882 at the Lincoln Park Zoo. 563 00:00:52,882 --> 00:00:54,472 And they now have 564 00:00:54,472 --> 00:00:56,212 35 different partner cities 565 00:00:56,212 --> 00:00:57,397 across the United States 566 00:00:57,397 --> 00:00:59,042 and a couple in Canada. 567 00:00:59,042 --> 00:01:01,437 All of these different partner cities use 568 00:01:01,437 --> 00:01:04,212 a shared data monitoring protocol. 569 00:01:04,212 --> 00:01:06,522 So we all use camera traps. 570 00:01:06,522 --> 00:01:08,832 You have to have 25 camera traps 571 00:01:08,832 --> 00:01:10,572 to be a human partner cities. 572 00:01:10,572 --> 00:01:11,637 So once you meet that, 573 00:01:11,637 --> 00:01:13,272 you are able to upload 574 00:01:13,272 --> 00:01:15,282 your data to a shared database. 575 00:01:15,282 --> 00:01:16,152 And then all of 576 00:01:16,152 --> 00:01:17,262 these different partner cities 577 00:01:17,262 --> 00:01:18,882 can access that data. 578 00:01:18,882 --> 00:01:20,352 Which allows for a very 579 00:01:20,352 --> 00:01:22,812 wide spread wildlife research 580 00:01:22,812 --> 00:01:25,402 to take place, which is really cool. 581 00:01:25,562 --> 00:01:29,487 So in Portland we have 25 camera sites. 582 00:01:29,487 --> 00:01:30,642 Each of those little brown 583 00:01:30,642 --> 00:01:32,532 dots is one camera. 584 00:01:32,532 --> 00:01:35,382 They extend from Hillsboro 585 00:01:35,382 --> 00:01:37,947 in the West to the center of Portland. 586 00:01:37,947 --> 00:01:39,222 That little triangle in 587 00:01:39,222 --> 00:01:41,402 the center is neuroses bottom. 588 00:01:41,402 --> 00:01:42,982 And then they extend to 589 00:01:42,982 --> 00:01:44,497 aggression in the east. 590 00:01:44,497 --> 00:01:47,512 So these cameras are placed in 591 00:01:47,512 --> 00:01:50,872 public parks and greenways across Portland. 592 00:01:50,872 --> 00:01:53,617 They're placed every season 593 00:01:53,617 --> 00:01:54,742 of the year and for 594 00:01:54,742 --> 00:01:56,647 30 days during that season. 595 00:01:56,647 --> 00:01:59,197 So at the end of that 30 day period 596 00:01:59,197 --> 00:02:01,102 than our volunteers go in and take 597 00:02:01,102 --> 00:02:03,967 the cameras out and then they upload 598 00:02:03,967 --> 00:02:05,842 the photographs that the cameras stuck 599 00:02:05,842 --> 00:02:07,972 to the national UN Database. 600 00:02:07,972 --> 00:02:09,682 And then they go through and tag 601 00:02:09,682 --> 00:02:12,397 each photograph by species, 602 00:02:12,397 --> 00:02:14,122 by what species is 603 00:02:14,122 --> 00:02:16,102 present at the Canvas site. 604 00:02:16,102 --> 00:02:18,502 So the species that 605 00:02:18,502 --> 00:02:19,642 I'm looking at for my project 606 00:02:19,642 --> 00:02:22,792 are possums, Katie's and raccoons. 607 00:02:22,792 --> 00:02:24,907 These are mezzo creditors 608 00:02:24,907 --> 00:02:27,441 or medium-sized predator species. 609 00:02:27,441 --> 00:02:29,017 They are urban adaptive, 610 00:02:29,017 --> 00:02:31,387 say you probably seen them around. 611 00:02:31,387 --> 00:02:33,442 They live closely with humans and they have 612 00:02:33,442 --> 00:02:35,887 a pretty wide distribution across Portland. 613 00:02:35,887 --> 00:02:38,887 So there's been quite a bit of work 614 00:02:38,887 --> 00:02:40,252 looking at how coyotes are 615 00:02:40,252 --> 00:02:42,187 distributed across urban space, 616 00:02:42,187 --> 00:02:43,522 but that is not the case 617 00:02:43,522 --> 00:02:44,812 for possums and raccoons. 618 00:02:44,812 --> 00:02:46,537 They're pretty understudied. 619 00:02:46,537 --> 00:02:49,072 And there's also some work being 620 00:02:49,072 --> 00:02:51,382 done about meso predator as possibly 621 00:02:51,382 --> 00:02:53,662 increasing in urban areas due to 622 00:02:53,662 --> 00:02:56,287 apex predators like the mountain lion 623 00:02:56,287 --> 00:02:58,237 getting pushed out of urban space. 624 00:02:58,237 --> 00:02:59,722 Due to more fragmented 625 00:02:59,722 --> 00:03:01,537 habitat and human development. 626 00:03:01,537 --> 00:03:03,892 That is causing massive predators 627 00:03:03,892 --> 00:03:05,002 to increase in 628 00:03:05,002 --> 00:03:07,192 some areas as they have 629 00:03:07,192 --> 00:03:09,292 less competition with apex predators 630 00:03:09,292 --> 00:03:11,852 and less predation from them. 631 00:03:11,892 --> 00:03:14,062 So the point of 632 00:03:14,062 --> 00:03:15,682 this project is to look at where 633 00:03:15,682 --> 00:03:19,432 meso predators are located in urban space. 634 00:03:19,432 --> 00:03:20,902 And also look at what 635 00:03:20,902 --> 00:03:23,947 landscaped features are at those same sites. 636 00:03:23,947 --> 00:03:26,332 So we have a lot of different variables that 637 00:03:26,332 --> 00:03:27,352 we're looking at whenever 638 00:03:27,352 --> 00:03:29,002 we're doing this project. 639 00:03:29,002 --> 00:03:32,512 There's environmental variables like water. 640 00:03:32,512 --> 00:03:35,587 There's also how fragmented 641 00:03:35,587 --> 00:03:37,072 these habitat patches are 642 00:03:37,072 --> 00:03:38,977 and how cohesive they are. 643 00:03:38,977 --> 00:03:40,582 We also are looking at 644 00:03:40,582 --> 00:03:43,162 socio-demographic variables like roads, 645 00:03:43,162 --> 00:03:44,812 population density, 646 00:03:44,812 --> 00:03:46,672 and even income in 647 00:03:46,672 --> 00:03:47,722 these areas to look 648 00:03:47,722 --> 00:03:49,102 at what variables might be 649 00:03:49,102 --> 00:03:51,022 affecting where we're seeing 650 00:03:51,022 --> 00:03:53,812 these different mezzo predator species. 651 00:03:53,812 --> 00:03:57,637 So just to give a broad idea of the project, 652 00:03:57,637 --> 00:03:59,242 the first step, getting 653 00:03:59,242 --> 00:04:00,682 our meso predator detections, 654 00:04:00,682 --> 00:04:02,992 we are pretty much done with. 655 00:04:02,992 --> 00:04:05,452 In order for these detections to 656 00:04:05,452 --> 00:04:07,432 be considered like research grade, 657 00:04:07,432 --> 00:04:08,902 they have to be tagged by 658 00:04:08,902 --> 00:04:10,297 at least two volunteers. 659 00:04:10,297 --> 00:04:11,602 Right now the data I'm showing 660 00:04:11,602 --> 00:04:12,802 has only been tagged by one, 661 00:04:12,802 --> 00:04:15,712 so it's technically not quite done yet, but 662 00:04:15,712 --> 00:04:17,092 But it should give a great, 663 00:04:17,092 --> 00:04:18,787 good idea of where we're going. 664 00:04:18,787 --> 00:04:20,662 And then we also have, 665 00:04:20,662 --> 00:04:22,792 the next step is looking at land cover and 666 00:04:22,792 --> 00:04:24,277 socioeconomic variables 667 00:04:24,277 --> 00:04:26,842 across multiple, multiple radii. 668 00:04:26,842 --> 00:04:29,137 This we're pretty far along with. 669 00:04:29,137 --> 00:04:30,832 This is where I'm going to be getting 670 00:04:30,832 --> 00:04:32,422 the data that I'm showing today. 671 00:04:32,422 --> 00:04:34,357 The next step though is pretty important. 672 00:04:34,357 --> 00:04:35,482 It's looking at the 673 00:04:35,482 --> 00:04:37,012 relationship between all of 674 00:04:37,012 --> 00:04:40,087 our landscape variables and multiple radii. 675 00:04:40,087 --> 00:04:42,532 So the next step is instead of taking 676 00:04:42,532 --> 00:04:44,962 only one radius around the site, 677 00:04:44,962 --> 00:04:47,152 we're going to look at multiple radii and 678 00:04:47,152 --> 00:04:48,517 compare how the 679 00:04:48,517 --> 00:04:50,167 landscape variables are changing 680 00:04:50,167 --> 00:04:52,747 as we move from like five meters 681 00:04:52,747 --> 00:04:54,157 away from the site to 682 00:04:54,157 --> 00:04:56,257 100 meters away from the site. 683 00:04:56,257 --> 00:04:58,462 How are those landscape variables going 684 00:04:58,462 --> 00:05:00,667 to look different at those different scales? 685 00:05:00,667 --> 00:05:03,277 So that's going to inform our fourth step, 686 00:05:03,277 --> 00:05:05,857 which is determining a modeling approach. 687 00:05:05,857 --> 00:05:07,192 And then the final step is 688 00:05:07,192 --> 00:05:08,902 going to be building a model to help 689 00:05:08,902 --> 00:05:10,432 us understand which of 690 00:05:10,432 --> 00:05:12,082 these landscape variables are going 691 00:05:12,082 --> 00:05:13,522 to be important for looking 692 00:05:13,522 --> 00:05:15,561 at our meso predator detections. 693 00:05:15,561 --> 00:05:18,202 And which can be you, which can we use to 694 00:05:18,202 --> 00:05:21,202 understand where are these meso creditors 695 00:05:21,202 --> 00:05:24,392 are located in urban space. 696 00:05:24,462 --> 00:05:27,022 So this gives an idea of kind 697 00:05:27,022 --> 00:05:28,807 of where the state is going. 698 00:05:28,807 --> 00:05:30,922 I've mapped the national land cover 699 00:05:30,922 --> 00:05:35,077 database sites for you and you can see, 700 00:05:35,077 --> 00:05:36,712 you can start to see our, 701 00:05:36,712 --> 00:05:38,631 our distributions of detections 702 00:05:38,631 --> 00:05:40,342 laid out across all of our sites, 703 00:05:40,342 --> 00:05:42,202 which is pretty exciting. 704 00:05:42,202 --> 00:05:44,642 This just gives an idea of, 705 00:05:44,642 --> 00:05:46,267 of what we're kind of looking at, 706 00:05:46,267 --> 00:05:48,202 looking at different distributions 707 00:05:48,202 --> 00:05:49,672 between each species 708 00:05:49,672 --> 00:05:50,932 at each site and also 709 00:05:50,932 --> 00:05:53,497 relative to the site characteristics. 710 00:05:53,497 --> 00:05:55,867 What distributions of wildlife we're seeing. 711 00:05:55,867 --> 00:05:58,972 And like I said, this is only 11 radius. 712 00:05:58,972 --> 00:06:00,562 So looking at multiple radii is 713 00:06:00,562 --> 00:06:03,172 going to give us a lot clearer picture. 714 00:06:03,172 --> 00:06:06,052 This is another way of visualizing this data. 715 00:06:06,052 --> 00:06:07,552 You can look at the number of 716 00:06:07,552 --> 00:06:09,502 days that wildlife were detected. 717 00:06:09,502 --> 00:06:11,706 So this is not number of detections. 718 00:06:11,706 --> 00:06:14,947 This is detections within a 24 hour period. 719 00:06:14,947 --> 00:06:16,972 And then I've mapped that with 720 00:06:16,972 --> 00:06:18,952 the percent impervious surface and all of 721 00:06:18,952 --> 00:06:20,602 our sites is 722 00:06:20,602 --> 00:06:22,852 just one variable that we can look at. 723 00:06:22,852 --> 00:06:24,952 We have 22 different variables 724 00:06:24,952 --> 00:06:26,272 that we've pulled at this point. 725 00:06:26,272 --> 00:06:28,252 So this is going to be a lot of work 726 00:06:28,252 --> 00:06:30,172 looking at correlations between 727 00:06:30,172 --> 00:06:31,851 a lot of different variables. 728 00:06:31,851 --> 00:06:33,412 And you can tell by this graph, 729 00:06:33,412 --> 00:06:34,882 this isn't telling us a whole lot. 730 00:06:34,882 --> 00:06:36,411 The points are pretty scattered 731 00:06:36,411 --> 00:06:37,582 and you don't really 732 00:06:37,582 --> 00:06:38,991 see much of a correlation. 733 00:06:38,991 --> 00:06:40,882 This might be a case where looking at 734 00:06:40,882 --> 00:06:42,382 a different radii could 735 00:06:42,382 --> 00:06:44,227 give us a little bit of a clearer picture. 736 00:06:44,227 --> 00:06:45,592 Or this could be a case 737 00:06:45,592 --> 00:06:47,242 where maybe impervious surface isn't 738 00:06:47,242 --> 00:06:49,162 the best variable to predict where 739 00:06:49,162 --> 00:06:51,997 these mezzo predator species are located. 740 00:06:51,997 --> 00:06:53,992 This is another example 741 00:06:53,992 --> 00:06:55,432 of a variable we can look at. 742 00:06:55,432 --> 00:06:57,757 This is average number of housing units. 743 00:06:57,757 --> 00:06:59,662 And so you can see this one 744 00:06:59,662 --> 00:07:01,461 might be a little bit more correlated. 745 00:07:01,461 --> 00:07:03,682 You can tell that predators might be 746 00:07:03,682 --> 00:07:06,262 trending towards areas with less housing. 747 00:07:06,262 --> 00:07:08,947 But it's still very preliminary data. 748 00:07:08,947 --> 00:07:10,507 We're going to have to take another look, 749 00:07:10,507 --> 00:07:12,172 looking at many different variables 750 00:07:12,172 --> 00:07:13,192 to see which of these are 751 00:07:13,192 --> 00:07:14,422 going to be the most important 752 00:07:14,422 --> 00:07:16,957 whenever we end up building our model. 753 00:07:16,957 --> 00:07:19,942 So once we have this model 754 00:07:19,942 --> 00:07:21,982 to tell us where meso predators are 755 00:07:21,982 --> 00:07:23,707 located potentially and what kind of 756 00:07:23,707 --> 00:07:25,042 resources they might be looking 757 00:07:25,042 --> 00:07:26,947 for. How can we use that? 758 00:07:26,947 --> 00:07:29,152 Well, one way is 759 00:07:29,152 --> 00:07:31,162 looking at habitat corridors. 760 00:07:31,162 --> 00:07:32,542 Habitat corridors are 761 00:07:32,542 --> 00:07:34,702 a pretty hot topic in urban ecology. 762 00:07:34,702 --> 00:07:36,577 Looking at how these different animals 763 00:07:36,577 --> 00:07:38,902 are moving throughout urban space. 764 00:07:38,902 --> 00:07:41,782 And looking at these different variables 765 00:07:41,782 --> 00:07:44,287 can be super helpful in telling us 766 00:07:44,287 --> 00:07:46,192 both weirdly animals are 767 00:07:46,192 --> 00:07:47,662 located and also how we can 768 00:07:47,662 --> 00:07:49,522 build corridors that are going to 769 00:07:49,522 --> 00:07:51,877 be better suited for these different species. 770 00:07:51,877 --> 00:07:53,872 What resources we might need 771 00:07:53,872 --> 00:07:56,286 to include in urban corridors. 772 00:07:56,286 --> 00:07:59,197 And also how we can best 773 00:07:59,197 --> 00:08:01,672 suit these landscapes for 774 00:08:01,672 --> 00:08:03,997 the species that they're meant to be serving. 775 00:08:03,997 --> 00:08:05,572 So we can also look at 776 00:08:05,572 --> 00:08:06,982 social impacts of this data, 777 00:08:06,982 --> 00:08:09,292 looking at where the animals 778 00:08:09,292 --> 00:08:10,672 are located relative to 779 00:08:10,672 --> 00:08:12,652 people and which people might be having 780 00:08:12,652 --> 00:08:15,187 the most access with wildlife species. 781 00:08:15,187 --> 00:08:17,557 There has been work that shows that 782 00:08:17,557 --> 00:08:19,462 some wealth demographics may have 783 00:08:19,462 --> 00:08:21,142 more access to wildlife than others. 784 00:08:21,142 --> 00:08:22,282 And so we want to make sure 785 00:08:22,282 --> 00:08:24,472 that wildlife is equitable. 786 00:08:24,472 --> 00:08:25,792 We also want to look 787 00:08:25,792 --> 00:08:26,692 at the flip side of that, 788 00:08:26,692 --> 00:08:28,972 looking at human wildlife conflict. 789 00:08:28,972 --> 00:08:31,132 Where is their highest risk 790 00:08:31,132 --> 00:08:31,852 that there could be 791 00:08:31,852 --> 00:08:33,337 a human wildlife conflict? 792 00:08:33,337 --> 00:08:34,732 As these meso predators are 793 00:08:34,732 --> 00:08:36,652 increasing and urban space, 794 00:08:36,652 --> 00:08:38,122 it's going to become more and 795 00:08:38,122 --> 00:08:39,577 more important that we, 796 00:08:39,577 --> 00:08:40,732 that we create space for 797 00:08:40,732 --> 00:08:42,202 them and make sure that they have 798 00:08:42,202 --> 00:08:44,092 the resources that they need to alleviate 799 00:08:44,092 --> 00:08:45,532 that human wildlife conflict 800 00:08:45,532 --> 00:08:46,867 as much as we can. 801 00:08:46,867 --> 00:08:49,342 So with that, I just want to 802 00:08:49,342 --> 00:08:51,742 thank our partners in this project. 803 00:08:51,742 --> 00:08:53,632 Everyone has been great to work with. 804 00:08:53,632 --> 00:08:54,352 We're working with 805 00:08:54,352 --> 00:08:55,926 the organ Wildlife Foundation, 806 00:08:55,926 --> 00:08:58,162 the Lincoln Park Zoo, Portland State, 807 00:08:58,162 --> 00:08:58,719 Colin Audubon and the smart group.