1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:01,980 My name is Emma wrestle and I am 2 00:00:01,980 --> 00:00:04,410 a climate change intern at 3 00:00:04,410 --> 00:00:05,640 Westmont Noma soil and 4 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:07,155 water conservation district, 5 00:00:07,155 --> 00:00:08,325 as well as a student at 6 00:00:08,325 --> 00:00:10,095 Portland State University. 7 00:00:10,095 --> 00:00:12,825 And today I'd like to talk about my work on 8 00:00:12,825 --> 00:00:14,550 improving climate resiliency 9 00:00:14,550 --> 00:00:15,900 in management practices, 10 00:00:15,900 --> 00:00:17,910 in conservation lending by 11 00:00:17,910 --> 00:00:19,500 developing a climate lens, 12 00:00:19,500 --> 00:00:20,910 at least put them on Soil 13 00:00:20,910 --> 00:00:23,280 and Water Conservation District. 14 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:25,110 And before I begin, 15 00:00:25,110 --> 00:00:27,675 I'd first like to acknowledge PSUs, LCM, 16 00:00:27,675 --> 00:00:30,510 and ISS programs for funding the project, 17 00:00:30,510 --> 00:00:33,880 as well as like my supervisor, Maria legato. 18 00:00:36,550 --> 00:00:39,110 So the purpose of this project, 19 00:00:39,110 --> 00:00:40,700 as mentioned in the title, 20 00:00:40,700 --> 00:00:42,830 is to develop a climate lens 21 00:00:42,830 --> 00:00:44,540 for Westmont lemma. 22 00:00:44,540 --> 00:00:46,040 And the main reason why we're 23 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:47,660 doing this comes from one 24 00:00:47,660 --> 00:00:49,130 of the strategic directions 25 00:00:49,130 --> 00:00:51,485 listed in Westmont moments. 26 00:00:51,485 --> 00:00:53,300 Long-range business plan in 27 00:00:53,300 --> 00:00:54,500 that strategic direction 28 00:00:54,500 --> 00:00:55,640 says that they intend to 29 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:57,650 promote resilient environments and 30 00:00:57,650 --> 00:01:00,260 communities in the face of climate change. 31 00:01:00,260 --> 00:01:02,870 So this project is hoping to assist in 32 00:01:02,870 --> 00:01:05,210 achieving that strategic direction and 33 00:01:05,210 --> 00:01:06,710 then as well as develop 34 00:01:06,710 --> 00:01:08,210 a climate lens to 35 00:01:08,210 --> 00:01:11,280 inform future conservation planning. 36 00:01:12,670 --> 00:01:15,319 So for this presentation, 37 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:16,460 I'm going to focus on 38 00:01:16,460 --> 00:01:19,370 four main points of study within the project. 39 00:01:19,370 --> 00:01:23,540 In the first one is determining how organs 40 00:01:23,540 --> 00:01:25,595 future or organs climate 41 00:01:25,595 --> 00:01:27,785 is expected to change in the future. 42 00:01:27,785 --> 00:01:29,750 And then lumps determining that we want 43 00:01:29,750 --> 00:01:32,060 to figure out what kind 44 00:01:32,060 --> 00:01:34,010 of impacts that change and climate 45 00:01:34,010 --> 00:01:36,695 will have on specific systems. 46 00:01:36,695 --> 00:01:39,230 And then we want to figure out 47 00:01:39,230 --> 00:01:41,900 what kind of land management practices we can 48 00:01:41,900 --> 00:01:45,200 incorporate or adapt in order to increase 49 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:46,730 climate mitigation and 50 00:01:46,730 --> 00:01:49,415 adaptation within the organization. 51 00:01:49,415 --> 00:01:51,440 In lastly, we hope to 52 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,690 identify communities of concern 53 00:01:53,690 --> 00:01:55,490 within the region and find ways 54 00:01:55,490 --> 00:01:58,560 to best protect these communities. 55 00:01:59,230 --> 00:02:02,000 First thing that we wanted to look at was 56 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:05,225 how is climate expect it to change in Oregon. 57 00:02:05,225 --> 00:02:06,935 So like the rest of the globe, 58 00:02:06,935 --> 00:02:09,560 we're expecting increases in temperatures. 59 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:11,600 And these make these increases 60 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,160 in temperatures are mainly going 61 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,080 to affect the summer season with 62 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:16,400 the largest increases in 63 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,470 temperatures occurring them. 64 00:02:18,470 --> 00:02:21,635 And then as far as annual precipitation goes, 65 00:02:21,635 --> 00:02:25,160 there's really not much change annually, 66 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:26,450 but we will experience 67 00:02:26,450 --> 00:02:28,085 a lot of seasonal changes. 68 00:02:28,085 --> 00:02:31,205 So summers are going to get much drier. 69 00:02:31,205 --> 00:02:32,510 And with this comes 70 00:02:32,510 --> 00:02:35,105 increased drought and wildfire risk. 71 00:02:35,105 --> 00:02:37,325 And then winters are going to get wetter 72 00:02:37,325 --> 00:02:39,890 with increased precipitation and 73 00:02:39,890 --> 00:02:42,650 a shift in precipitation falling 74 00:02:42,650 --> 00:02:46,369 more so as red enlists as snowfall. 75 00:02:46,369 --> 00:02:49,370 So with this shift to rain, 76 00:02:49,370 --> 00:02:50,960 dominant precipitation are 77 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,030 mountains receive less snow, 78 00:02:53,030 --> 00:02:54,710 therefore decreasing the amount 79 00:02:54,710 --> 00:02:56,300 of snowpack that's there. 80 00:02:56,300 --> 00:02:58,730 And this has a really strong impact on 81 00:02:58,730 --> 00:03:01,100 our summer season because that decreases 82 00:03:01,100 --> 00:03:03,230 the amount of summer 83 00:03:03,230 --> 00:03:04,820 flows coming from us know 84 00:03:04,820 --> 00:03:07,190 back in this further exacerbates 85 00:03:07,190 --> 00:03:08,840 the dry conditions that 86 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:10,985 we're expecting for the future. 87 00:03:10,985 --> 00:03:14,180 And then lastly, we, like Garrett mentioned, 88 00:03:14,180 --> 00:03:15,860 are expecting an increase in 89 00:03:15,860 --> 00:03:17,240 heat wave intensity and 90 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,040 frequency in the summers. 91 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:20,930 And then we're also experiencing, 92 00:03:20,930 --> 00:03:23,885 are intending to experience an increase 93 00:03:23,885 --> 00:03:27,425 in a night time temperatures in the summer, 94 00:03:27,425 --> 00:03:30,260 which has a pretty strong impact 95 00:03:30,260 --> 00:03:33,389 in terms of the effects of heatwaves. 96 00:03:34,090 --> 00:03:36,395 So now we want to look at 97 00:03:36,395 --> 00:03:37,820 what kind of impacts, 98 00:03:37,820 --> 00:03:41,165 what these effects have unspecific systems. 99 00:03:41,165 --> 00:03:43,190 So as far as forest scale, 100 00:03:43,190 --> 00:03:45,020 we're expecting forest to 101 00:03:45,020 --> 00:03:48,020 become drier and also hotter. 102 00:03:48,020 --> 00:03:49,355 So both of these things 103 00:03:49,355 --> 00:03:51,905 increase the drought and wildfire risk. 104 00:03:51,905 --> 00:03:53,960 So we expect both of those things to 105 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:57,065 them become more frequent in the future, 106 00:03:57,065 --> 00:03:59,195 specifically in the summertime. 107 00:03:59,195 --> 00:04:04,100 And then when a wildfire disturbs an area, 108 00:04:04,100 --> 00:04:07,370 we're left with less growth 109 00:04:07,370 --> 00:04:09,200 and these seedlings that are trying to 110 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:12,140 repopulate the area in the seedlings will 111 00:04:12,140 --> 00:04:13,910 now be trying to grow 112 00:04:13,910 --> 00:04:16,085 in more harsh environments. 113 00:04:16,085 --> 00:04:17,450 And so that actually 114 00:04:17,450 --> 00:04:19,550 increases signaling mortality and 115 00:04:19,550 --> 00:04:21,320 has a pretty strong effect on 116 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,725 post wildfire regeneration in the future. 117 00:04:24,725 --> 00:04:28,685 We also know that when plants are stressed, 118 00:04:28,685 --> 00:04:30,890 it essentially opens the door for 119 00:04:30,890 --> 00:04:32,330 other disturbances to come 120 00:04:32,330 --> 00:04:35,330 in and negatively impact the plants. 121 00:04:35,330 --> 00:04:37,190 So we're expecting this effect 122 00:04:37,190 --> 00:04:38,765 to take place with 123 00:04:38,765 --> 00:04:41,060 the drought stress and also temperature 124 00:04:41,060 --> 00:04:43,370 stress affecting the plants, 125 00:04:43,370 --> 00:04:44,990 and therefore increasing 126 00:04:44,990 --> 00:04:47,735 the vulnerability to insects, 127 00:04:47,735 --> 00:04:51,830 to diseases and to invasive species. 128 00:04:51,830 --> 00:04:54,530 And then the last thing, we expect 129 00:04:54,530 --> 00:04:57,425 his plans to shift their distribution, 130 00:04:57,425 --> 00:04:59,390 trying to go into cooler 131 00:04:59,390 --> 00:05:01,460 and wetter environments as 132 00:05:01,460 --> 00:05:02,705 the climate is changing. 133 00:05:02,705 --> 00:05:05,825 So plants are going to shift north 134 00:05:05,825 --> 00:05:07,400 and they're also going to 135 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,620 shift towards higher elevations. 136 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,335 So as far as agriculture goes, 137 00:05:15,335 --> 00:05:17,570 agricultural crops will overall 138 00:05:17,570 --> 00:05:19,340 experience a decrease in 139 00:05:19,340 --> 00:05:21,300 crop yield and quality. 140 00:05:21,300 --> 00:05:22,930 And this is mainly due to 141 00:05:22,930 --> 00:05:24,100 the drought stress and 142 00:05:24,100 --> 00:05:25,270 the temperature stress that 143 00:05:25,270 --> 00:05:26,590 they will experience. 144 00:05:26,590 --> 00:05:27,910 And as I mentioned earlier, 145 00:05:27,910 --> 00:05:29,590 that decline and snowpack 146 00:05:29,590 --> 00:05:31,180 really plays a big role in this. 147 00:05:31,180 --> 00:05:33,970 Because not only will plants 148 00:05:33,970 --> 00:05:35,530 require more water with 149 00:05:35,530 --> 00:05:36,850 an increase in temperature, 150 00:05:36,850 --> 00:05:38,635 but there is less water 151 00:05:38,635 --> 00:05:40,825 to be had in the growing season. 152 00:05:40,825 --> 00:05:43,690 So it further exacerbates be 153 00:05:43,690 --> 00:05:45,640 the stress on the irrigation 154 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,995 systems for these crops. 155 00:05:47,995 --> 00:05:50,260 And the changes in 156 00:05:50,260 --> 00:05:52,750 climate will also reduce soil health 157 00:05:52,750 --> 00:05:55,690 and increased heat related illnesses for 158 00:05:55,690 --> 00:05:58,855 both livestock as well as farm workers. 159 00:05:58,855 --> 00:06:01,434 And similar to forests. 160 00:06:01,434 --> 00:06:04,120 These drought stress and temperature 161 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:07,525 will increase vulnerability to pests, 162 00:06:07,525 --> 00:06:11,150 to insects, and also to weeds. 163 00:06:12,930 --> 00:06:15,220 And then when looking 164 00:06:15,220 --> 00:06:17,380 at impacts on specific systems, 165 00:06:17,380 --> 00:06:18,430 we also looked at 166 00:06:18,430 --> 00:06:20,740 wetlands and riparian regions. 167 00:06:20,740 --> 00:06:22,630 In these two regions are 168 00:06:22,630 --> 00:06:24,490 very dependent on precipitation. 169 00:06:24,490 --> 00:06:26,470 So as precipitation patterns 170 00:06:26,470 --> 00:06:27,700 change in the future, 171 00:06:27,700 --> 00:06:30,624 so are the hydrological patterns. 172 00:06:30,624 --> 00:06:32,320 I'm going to change in 173 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:34,630 the wetland and riparian areas. 174 00:06:34,630 --> 00:06:37,660 So we expect that wetlands are going 175 00:06:37,660 --> 00:06:41,800 to have less time being wet. 176 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:45,160 It actually increased risk of drying out. 177 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:46,710 So they'll spend more time 178 00:06:46,710 --> 00:06:49,580 dry then they will let in the future. 179 00:06:49,580 --> 00:06:51,380 And they will also have 180 00:06:51,380 --> 00:06:54,185 an increase in water temperatures as well. 181 00:06:54,185 --> 00:06:57,125 And that can have a negative impact on any of 182 00:06:57,125 --> 00:06:58,880 the species that are dependent 183 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:01,680 on these waters and these regions. 184 00:07:02,050 --> 00:07:05,255 And as far as riparian areas go, 185 00:07:05,255 --> 00:07:07,490 we expect an increase in 186 00:07:07,490 --> 00:07:08,870 flooding and an also an 187 00:07:08,870 --> 00:07:10,220 increase in drought severity. 188 00:07:10,220 --> 00:07:12,680 So we kind of have this increase in 189 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:16,010 both extremes for riparian areas. 190 00:07:16,010 --> 00:07:19,370 And then also an expected reduction in 191 00:07:19,370 --> 00:07:20,765 groundwater recharge 192 00:07:20,765 --> 00:07:23,150 and a reduction in nutrient cycling, 193 00:07:23,150 --> 00:07:24,890 which are both important for 194 00:07:24,890 --> 00:07:28,410 these riparian areas to maintain health. 195 00:07:28,780 --> 00:07:30,860 So now that we've looked at 196 00:07:30,860 --> 00:07:32,765 the impacts of these regions, 197 00:07:32,765 --> 00:07:34,085 we really want to know 198 00:07:34,085 --> 00:07:35,930 how can we reduce these impacts, 199 00:07:35,930 --> 00:07:37,580 knowing that climate change is going 200 00:07:37,580 --> 00:07:40,565 to negatively affect these regions. 201 00:07:40,565 --> 00:07:43,610 So in terms of land management practices, 202 00:07:43,610 --> 00:07:45,620 we have two main categories that we 203 00:07:45,620 --> 00:07:48,335 can reduce the climate impacts. 204 00:07:48,335 --> 00:07:50,165 The first one is mitigation. 205 00:07:50,165 --> 00:07:51,620 In this refers to 206 00:07:51,620 --> 00:07:54,410 the actual reduction of atmospheric carbon. 207 00:07:54,410 --> 00:07:55,565 So in our case, that would 208 00:07:55,565 --> 00:07:57,950 be sequestering carbon. 209 00:07:57,950 --> 00:08:01,460 And the main way that we can do this is 210 00:08:01,460 --> 00:08:05,360 by adapting agricultural practices. 211 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,705 So we want to increase the amount of, 212 00:08:08,705 --> 00:08:11,495 of hard then that's also going up. 213 00:08:11,495 --> 00:08:13,430 And we can do this by 214 00:08:13,430 --> 00:08:15,320 reducing soil disturbance. 215 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:17,330 So we can go to a no till 216 00:08:17,330 --> 00:08:20,930 practice or reduce tiling as much as we can. 217 00:08:20,930 --> 00:08:23,465 And also incorporate cover cropping 218 00:08:23,465 --> 00:08:26,660 in crop rotation into the practices. 219 00:08:26,660 --> 00:08:28,490 We can also look into 220 00:08:28,490 --> 00:08:30,665 incorporating BioShock and manure. 221 00:08:30,665 --> 00:08:32,180 And those are good ways to increase 222 00:08:32,180 --> 00:08:35,250 the amount of carbon stored in the soils. 223 00:08:36,910 --> 00:08:39,080 And then other ways to 224 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:40,535 mitigate climate include 225 00:08:40,535 --> 00:08:42,020 protecting and restoring 226 00:08:42,020 --> 00:08:44,420 high carbon storing ecosystems. 227 00:08:44,420 --> 00:08:46,025 So this includes wetlands. 228 00:08:46,025 --> 00:08:48,350 Wetlands are really important because they 229 00:08:48,350 --> 00:08:51,020 actually slow the rate of decomposition, 230 00:08:51,020 --> 00:08:53,300 which therefore stores carbon 231 00:08:53,300 --> 00:08:55,610 within the biomass in the region. 232 00:08:55,610 --> 00:08:56,990 And then we know that 233 00:08:56,990 --> 00:08:58,310 old growth forests store 234 00:08:58,310 --> 00:09:00,980 a lot of carbon and also riparian areas. 235 00:09:00,980 --> 00:09:02,945 So as far as 236 00:09:02,945 --> 00:09:06,470 assisting in reducing climate impacts, 237 00:09:06,470 --> 00:09:07,880 these regions should be 238 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,290 prioritized in terms of 239 00:09:09,290 --> 00:09:11,405 protection and restoration. 240 00:09:11,405 --> 00:09:13,685 And then we can always plant more trees. 241 00:09:13,685 --> 00:09:14,960 So that includes a forest 242 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,450 station and reforestation. 243 00:09:17,450 --> 00:09:24,530 As far as adaptation to increase you sorry, 244 00:09:24,530 --> 00:09:26,840 I cut is actually 245 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:29,659 increasing the ecosystem resiliency. 246 00:09:29,659 --> 00:09:30,935 So there are many ways to do that. 247 00:09:30,935 --> 00:09:32,600 The most important, I would say is 248 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,015 habitat connectivity and also 249 00:09:35,015 --> 00:09:38,700 increasing biodiversity within the region. 250 00:09:38,950 --> 00:09:41,610 And that is all.