Published In

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date



Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Eugene -- Forecasting, Eugene School District, Demographic surveys -- Oregon -- Eugene


The Eugene 4J School District (4J) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for the District and its schools in collaboration with Lane Council of Governments (LCOG). This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for 4J for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period.

Persistent Identifier