Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date



Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, Lake Oswego School District, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Lake Oswego -- Forecasting, Demographic surveys -- Oregon -- Lake Oswego


This report, prepared by the Population Research Center provides a medium-range school Enrollment Forecast, including background demographic information and analysis, for Lake Oswego School District (LOSD) and for its nine elementary schools, two junior high schools, and two high schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the District’s enrollment between 2004 and 2010 and examines elementary attendance areas within the District. The most likely scenario indicates that there will be a slight decrease in enrollments between 2003 and 2010. For the district-wide forecasting, three scenarios of population, housing, and enrollment changes were developed to account for different probabilities of demographic events. Forecasts are made for the District by grade level using three scenarios: (a) the most likely enrollment growth which curbs recent trends of declining housing and population growth rates, (b) lower growth, assuming that growth rates in the district will continue to decrease, and (c) higher growth, assuming higher average growth rates closer to those of the mid 1990s.

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