Document Type

Closed Project

Publication Date

Winter 2003

Course Title

Probability and Statistics

Course Number

EMGT 510/610



PICMET (Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology) was established in 1989 as a non-profit organization to disseminate information on technology management through an international conference. The first conference was held in 1991 and it turned out to be a huge success. At the requests of researchers and practitioners around the world, more conferences were held consecutively. On July 27-31, 1997 PICMET'97 was held with the theme of "Innovation in Technology Management: The Key to Global Leadership" The attendance increased by 100 compared to the 400 attendance in the first conference in 1991. PICMET'99 was held on July 25-29, 1999 with more than 600 participants. The theme of it was "Technology and Innovation Management: Setting the Pace for the Third Millennium". And then, on July 29-August 2, 2001 PICMET'01 was held. The theme of that conference was "Technology Management in the Knowledge Era: Life in the e-World". The attendance reached 650 representing more than 200 universities and 110 non-academic organizations including industrial corporations, research institutes and government agencies in 45 countries. In order to give suggestions on improving the coming PICMET'03 on July 20-24, 2003, our team analized the data of surveys got from the three conferences in 1997, 1999 and 2001. We did not use any forecasting methods in our work. The major reason is because that we only have 3 time points and it is not meaningful try to make predictions for the time series based only on three data points.


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