Document Type

Closed Project

Publication Date

Fall 2013


Jisun Kim

Course Title

Technology Forecasting

Course Number

ETM 532


3D Printing is the 2013 cause celebre as the popular press predicts that this technology can displace the current Chinese manufacturing economy and also allow consumers to “print” our dinners [1], [2]. This spike in popularity is also reflected that over 70% of consumer grade “e-books” concerning 3D Printing were published in 2013. But, like many technologies, there is a question whether the current rush towards 3D printing in the consumer market will result in a “false start”, such as with tablet computing during the 1980’s and 1990’s, or if this precedes an a predictable adoption curve [3]. This purpose of this paper is to try and forecast the adoption rate of “consumer grade” 3D printers for use in a typical United States household. Several assumptions are made. The first assumption is made that the consumer will treat the 3D printer as a “durable good”. The second assumption is that the consumer’s purchasing limit will be $1000. The third assumption is that the cost of consumables will be less than the equivalent cost of the product when purchased.


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