Document Type

Closed Project

Publication Date

Winter 2009


Dundar Kocaoglu

Course Title

Decision Making

Course Number

ETM 530


Energy is important to human existence, economic development and society progress, which is also related to safety of a country and sustainable d evelopment of s ociety economy. China is a rapidly developing country, in which the d ecision making about energy selection is criti cal. This paper discusses the alternatives of energy resources of coal, petroleum, natural g as, nuclear energy and renewable energy resources of China. The research makes a decision model for the selection of energy resources for China in the future by the method of Hierarchical Decision Modeling (HDM) by Dundar F. Kocaoglu. The result of the research indicates that rankings o f energy resources are that renewable energy ranks the 1st, coal ranks the 2nd, nuclear energy ranks the 3rd, natural gas ranks the 4th and petroleum ranks the last.The sensitivit y analysis reflects that the most criti cal criterion in the energy selection is current energy infrastructure.


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