Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date



Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Ashland -- Forecasting, Ashland School District, Demographic surveys -- Oregon -- Ashland


The area served by the Ashland School District (ASD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District's K-12 school enrollment of 2,627 students in Fall 2008 was 703 students (21 percent) fewer than it enrolled in Fall 2000. The long period of falling enrollment began after the 1993-94 school year; enrollment has not grown by more than a few students in any year since. In 10 of the last 15 years there have been significant K-12 enrollment losses ranging from 31 to 133 students. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the ASD from 2009-10 to 2018-19. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for relatively stable total K-12 enrollment in the ASD during the next 10 years. However, growth in elementary grades will be offset by decline in secondary enrollments as smaller classes continue to work their way through the grade levels.

Persistent Identifier