Document Type

Technical Report

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Horizon Christian School, Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Forecasting, Demographic surveys -- Oregon


This report provides a 2005-2015 school Enrollment Forecast for Horizon Christian School by grade level, and includes background demographic information and analysis for Horizon Christian School’s market area. The market area for this study consists of Northern Wasco County and Hood River County School Districts in Oregon, and White Salmon School District in Washington. Horizon Christian School, offering grades pre-kindergarten through 12, is located in the city of Hood River and its classrooms are located in rented spaces at three different sites throughout the city. Plans to construct a new facility to house Horizon on one campus have been made. The factors that are likely to affect Horizon’s enrollments are considered in this report, including the occurrence of demographic events and the construction of a new school facility. Three different scenarios of enrollment changes were developed to account for different probabilities of demographic changes and the effects a new school facility will have on enrollments. Each of the three Enrollment Forecasts uses one of the following assumptions: (a) current demographic and enrollment trends will continue throughout the forecast period; (b) a new school facility will be constructed and operational beginning in the 2006-07 school year, and (c) a new school facility will be operational beginning in the 2006-07 school year and population growth in Horizon’s market area will increase during the forecast period.

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