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Technology Management for Emerging Technologies (PICMET), 2012 Proceedings of PICMET '12

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Technological forecasting, Telecommunication, Wireless communication systems


This study presents a formal comparison of TFDEA with regression model to forecast wireless communication technology. In addition to the data set from the former research, up-to-2011 4G network technologies are added and analyzed. The research was designed to set the point of forecasting in 2001 so that technologies between 2001 and 2011 are to be forecasted using data set between 1979 and 2001. The results from both TFDEA and regression model are compared and discussed. This comparative study can provide forecasters with different aspects between 'best-practice measurement' and 'average practice measurement' and, ultimately, help to select the suitable approach for their purposes.


This is the publisher's final pdf. Copyright 2012 by PICMET. Paper delivered at Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), 2012.

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