Cross-Entropy-Based Adaptive Importance Sampling for Time-dependent reliability analysis of deteriorating structures

Published In

Structural Safety

Document Type

Citation

Publication Date

5-2017

Subjects

Monte Carlo simulation, System reliability

Abstract

Time-dependent reliability analysis of deteriorating structures is important in their performance evaluation and maintenance. Various definitions and methods have been used by researchers to predict the time-dependent reliability of structures. In the present study, these methods are first critically reviewed and examined. Among these methods, the stochastic-process-based method is theoretically the most rigorous but also computationally the most expensive. To facilitate the wide application of the stochastic-process-based method in complex problems, an efficient importance sampling method is then proposed in this paper. The proposed method includes a number of improvements formulated to enhance the efficiency and robustness of an existing method proposed by Kurtz and Song, leading to more efficient solutions of time-dependent reliability problems of structural systems with multiple important regions. The validity and efficiency of the new method is demonstrated through three numerical examples.

Rights

Description

*At the time of publication, David Yang was affiliated with The Hong Kong Polytechnic University.

DOI

10.1016/j.strusafe.2016.12.006

Persistent Identifier

https://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/34945

Share

COinS