Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date

10-1-2007

Subjects

Grants Pass School District 7, Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Grants Pass -- Forecasting, Demographic surveys -- Oregon -- Grants Pass

Abstract

Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in at least 20 years that the District has had two consecutive years of enrollment decline. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the downturn in enrollment will not continue in the long run and that the most likely scenario is for moderate enrollment growth of about 520 additional K-12 students between 2007-08 and 2017-18. The growth represents a nine percent increase over current enrollment, or an average annual rate of 0.9 percent. The study includes a population forecast for the area served by the GPSD for the years 2010 and 2020. In the 20 years between 2000 and 2020, the District is expected to add about 12,800 persons overall, growing from about 31,700 in 2000 to 44,500 in 2020. The average annual population growth forecast is 1.7 percent.

Persistent Identifier

http://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/8918

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