Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date

May 2007

Subjects

Forest Grove School District, Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Forest Grove -- Forecasting, Demographic surveys -- Oregon -- Forest Grove

Abstract

The Forest Grove School District (FGSD) enrolled 6,102 students in Fall 2006, an increase of 175 students (3.0 percent) from Fall 2005. Growth was concentrated in the high school grades (9-12), which grew by 101 students (5.5 percent), and elementary grades, which gained 66 students (2.9 percent) between Fall 2005 and Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on FGSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. The forecasts indicate that overall FGSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next five years, due largely to net in-migration of families with children and increases in the number of births within the District. Recent subdivision approvals will allow single family home construction to continue at its current pace for the entire five year period if market conditions remain favorable, but the mix of homes may shift somewhat to accommodate more older “move up” buyers and fewer young families. No new multiple family rental developments have been approved in the past two years; the few attached units being built are market rate townhouses and condos.

Persistent Identifier

http://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/8917

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