Document Type

Technical Report

Publication Date

4-1-2009

Subjects

Molalla River School District, Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, School enrollment -- Oregon -- Molalla -- Forecasting, Demographic surveys -- Oregon -- Molalla

Abstract

This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide grade level enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2020-21 school years. Three possible scenarios for MRSD enrollment correspond to three different population forecasts, which depend on unique assumptions about net migration. Other factors including fertility rates, shares of District residents enrolled in public schools, and enrollment impacts of charter schools do not vary between scenarios; they are held constant. In spite of rapid population and housing growth in the City of Molalla since the 1990s, total enrollment in the MRSD has only fluctuated by a few hundred students since the District’s 1993 consolidation. K-12 enrollment of 2,877 in Fall 2008 was about the same as in Fall 2000, though there are now fewer students in grades K-8 and more in grades 9- 12.

Persistent Identifier

http://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/8935

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