Sponsor
This project is funded by the State of Oregon through the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD). The contents of this document do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the State of Oregon.
Document Type
Report
Publication Date
6-30-2018
Subjects
Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, Demographic surveys -- Oregon, Population forecasting -- Oregon -- Klamath County
Abstract
Different parts of the county experience different growth patterns. Local trends within UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.
Klamath County’s total population grew slowly in the 2000s, with an average annual growth rate of .4%; however, some of its sub-areas experienced faster population. Malin posted the highest average annual growth rate at 2.4 percent during the 2000 to 2010 period, while all other sub-areas experienced average annual growth rates at or below that of the county as a whole.
Klamath County’s positive population growth in the 2000s was the result of steady natural increase (more births than deaths), supplemented by periodic influxes of net in-migration. An aging population not only led to an increase in deaths but also resulted in a smaller proportion of women in their childbearing years. This, along with more women having children at older ages has led to births stagnating in recent years. A larger number of births relative to deaths caused natural increase (more births than deaths) in every year from 2001 to 2016, but it has diminished. In recent years (2014-16), an influx of net on-migration has bolstered natural increase, leading to slow population growth.
Total population in Klamath County as a whole as well as within its sub-areas will likely grow at a faster pace in the near-term (2018 to 2043) compared to the long-term. The tapering of growth rates is largely driven by a growing natural decrease that will cut into population growth from net in-migration and eventually overtake it. Klamath County’s total population is forecast to increase by just over 1,500 over the next 25 years (2018-2043) and decline slightly by 363 people in the second half of the 50-year period. Growth rates are expected to be fairly uniform across the sub-areas.
Persistent Identifier
https://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/26649
Recommended Citation
Portland State University. Population Research Center; Chun, Nicholas; Rancik, Kevin; Haggerty, Rhey; Ollinger, Joshua; and Rynerson, Charles, "Coordinated Population Forecast for Klamath County, its Urban Growth Boundaries (UGB), and Area Outside UGBs 2018-2068" (2018). Oregon Population Forecast Program. 45.
https://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/26649
Description
This report is published by the Population Research Center at Portland State University, and is a product of the Oregon Population Forecast Program.
The introductory presentation, preliminary forecast presentation, forecast comparisons and Klamath County final forecast tables are attached to this document as supplemental files.