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Oregon -- Population -- Statistics, Demographic surveys -- Oregon, Population forecasting -- Oregon -- Klamath County
Different parts of the county experience different growth patterns. Local trends within UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.
Klamath County’s total population grew slowly in the 2000s, with an average annual growth rate of .4%; however, some of its sub-areas experienced faster population. Malin posted the highest average annual growth rate at 2.4 percent during the 2000 to 2010 period, while all other sub-areas experienced average annual growth rates at or below that of the county as a whole.
Klamath County’s positive population growth in the 2000s was the result of steady natural increase (more births than deaths), supplemented by periodic influxes of net in-migration. An aging population not only led to an increase in deaths but also resulted in a smaller proportion of women in their childbearing years. This, along with more women having children at older ages has led to births stagnating in recent years. A larger number of births relative to deaths caused natural increase (more births than deaths) in every year from 2001 to 2016, but it has diminished. In recent years (2014-16), an influx of net on-migration has bolstered natural increase, leading to slow population growth.
Total population in Klamath County as a whole as well as within its sub-areas will likely grow at a faster pace in the near-term (2018 to 2043) compared to the long-term. The tapering of growth rates is largely driven by a growing natural decrease that will cut into population growth from net in-migration and eventually overtake it. Klamath County’s total population is forecast to increase by just over 1,500 over the next 25 years (2018-2043) and decline slightly by 363 people in the second half of the 50-year period. Growth rates are expected to be fairly uniform across the sub-areas.
Portland State University. Population Research Center; Chun, Nicholas; Rancik, Kevin; Haggerty, Rhey; Ollinger, Joshua; and Rynerson, Charles, "Coordinated Population Forecast for Klamath County, its Urban Growth Boundaries (UGB), and Area Outside UGBs 2018-2068" (2018). Oregon Population Forecast Program. 45.