Dialogue: Canadian Philosophical Review/Revue canadienne de philosophie
Moral Epistemology, Moral Demonstration, Morality
In this article, we re-examine Pascal's Mugging, and argue that it is a deeper problem than the St. Petersburg paradox. We offer a way out that is consistent with classical decision theory. Specifically, we propose a “many muggers” response analogous to the “many gods” objection to Pascal's Wager. When a very tiny probability of a great reward becomes a salient outcome of a choice, such as in the offer of the mugger, it can be discounted on the condition that there are many other symmetric, non-salient rewards that one may receive if one chooses otherwise.
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Locate the Document
Hiller, A., & Hasan, A. (2023). How to Save Pascal (and Ourselves) From the Mugger. Dialogue: Canadian Philosophical Review/Revue canadienne de philosophie, 1-17.