Sponsor
National Science Foundation's Small Business Innovative Research program, under award number 1621444.
Published In
PLoS ONE
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
11-28-2017
Subjects
Hand pumps -- Kenya, Machine learning -- Algorithms, Hand pumps -- Maintenance, Hand pumps -- Performance -- Measurement
Abstract
Broken water pumps continue to impede efforts to deliver clean and economically-viable water to the global poor. The literature has demonstrated that customers’ health benefits and willingness to pay for clean water are best realized when clean water infrastructure performs extremely well (>99% uptime). In this paper, we used sensor data from 42 Afridev-brand handpumps observed for 14 months in western Kenya to demonstrate how sensors and supervised ensemble machine learning could be used to increase total fleet uptime from a best-practices baseline of about 70% to >99%. We accomplish this increase in uptime by forecasting pump failures and identifying existing failures very quickly. Comparing the costs of operating the pump per functional year over a lifetime of 10 years, we estimate that implementing this algorithm would save 7% on the levelized cost of water relative to a sensor-less scheduled maintenance program. Combined with a rigorous system for dispatching maintenance personnel, implementing this algorithm in a real-world program could significantly improve health outcomes and customers’ willingness to pay for water services.
Locate the Document
DOI
10.1371/journal.pone.0188808
Persistent Identifier
http://archives.pdx.edu/ds/psu/23208
Citation Details
Wilson, D. L., Coyle, J. R., & Thomas, E. A. (2017). Ensemble machine learning and forecasting can achieve 99% uptime for rural handpumps. PloS one, 12(11), e0188808.
Description
OPEN ACCESS
Copyright: © 2017 Wilson et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.